Jim Jordan lost the first round of votes for Speaker, after 20 Republicans voted ‘no’ – falling fall short of the 217 votes needed to become speaker in round one.

Prediction (stating the obvious): Never-Trump / Pro-Scalise Republicans will negotiate for maximum concessions from Jordan’s camp before eventually voting him in. Recall it took 15 votes in January to elect the now-ousted Kevin McCarthy (R-CA).

This could be a long day.

The House will vote on Tuesday for a new Speaker, a vote in which Rep. Jim Jordan (R-OH) can only lose four Republicans in his quest for 217 votes.

The first vote is scheduled to be held at Noon today.

While Jordan has picked up key support from holdouts heading into the vote, there are currently six Republicans who remain a ‘no’ on the first ballot today, per The Hill:

  • Rep. Don Bacon (R-NE) said he is “opposed” to Jordan, but not “never, never.”
  • Rep. Mike Kelly (R-NE) said he is planning to vote for Scalise.
  • Rep. Carlos Giménez (R-FL) is voting for McCarthy.
  • Rep. Mike Lawler (R-NY) is planning to vote for McCarthy.
  • Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-FL) is planning to vote for Scalise on at least the first ballot.
  • Rep. Ken Buck (R-CO) said he is a “no” on Jordan after meeting with him Monday night.