Republican former President Donald Trump has won the Iowa caucus, NBC News projects.

The projection is based on very early returns

Former President Donald Trump is projected to win the Iowa caucus, NBC News finds.

The bigger question now is who will take second place, and by how much. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis both poll in the high teens, effectively splitting the non-Trump vote.

Tonight’s caucus also serves as the first official barometer of where the Republican party stands in 2024. For example, if Trump wins support from more than 50% of caucusgoers, it narrows the suggest that even if the the non-Trump vote coalesces around one challenger, that candidate still faces an uphill climb.